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Dr. Strangelove has created a device that predicts whether or not a missile has been launched....

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Statistics

Dr. Strangelove has created a device that predicts whether ornot a missile has been launched. Given that a missile has beenlaunched, the device will correctly report that a missile has beenlaunched 95 percent of the time. Given that a missile has not beenlaunched, there is a 2 percent chance that the device willincorrectly report that a missile has been launched. There is a 1percent chance that a missile will be launched. What is theprobability that the device will indicate that a missile has beenlaunched?

a. 0.293

b. 0.324

c.0.675

d. 0.971

e. 0.016

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