You observe a portfolio for five years and determine that its average return is 11.2%...
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Accounting
You observe a portfolio for five years and determine that its average return is 11.2% and the standard deviation of its returns in 19.9%. Would a 30% loss next year be outside the 95% confidence interval for this portfolio? The low end of the 95% prediction interval is __%.
(Enter your response as a percent rounded to one decimal place.)
A. No, you cannot be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is greater than minus30%.
B.Yes, you can be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is greater than minus30%.
C.No, you cannot be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is less than minus30%.
D.Yes, you can be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is less than minus30%.
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