The Z-score bankruptcy model uses balance sheet and income information to arrive at a Z-Score, which...

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The Z-score bankruptcy model uses balance sheet and incomeinformation to arrive at a Z-Score, which can be used to predictfinancial distress. The Model follows:

Z= ((Working capital / Total assets) x 1.2) + ((Retainedearnings /Total assets ) x 1.4) + ((EBIT / Total Assets) x 3.3) +((Sales / Total assets ) x 0.99) + ((MV Equity / total liabilities)x 0.6)

EBIT is Earnings before Interest and Taxes.

MB Equity is the market value of common equity, which can bedetermined by multiplying stock price by shares outstanding.

Following extensive testing, it has been shown that companieswith Z-scores above 3.0 are unlikely to fail; those with Z-scoresbelow 1.81 are very likely to fail. While the original model wasdeveloped for publicly held manufacturing companies, the model hasbeen modified to apply to companies in various industries, emergingcompanies, and companies not traded in public markets.

For this discussion choose two publicly traded companies thatyou can find the financial statements for - one obviouslyprofitable and the other either closed or going through bankruptcy( Sears, KMart, etc). Compute the z-scores for the two latest yearsprovided and interpret the results. Where do the company's fall inthe financial distress range? Share the companies you chose, theZ-scores for each, and how this information helps you understandthe companies. Can you use this model to analyze your own companyor others you may be interested in?

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Definition TheAltman Zscore is a financial formula used by investors andcreditors to to estimate the likelihood of the company goingbankrupt by taking into account a firms core activitiesliquidity solvency profitability and leverageWhat Does Altman Z ScoreMeanAltman Zscore is a type of Zscore which was published by Edward I Altman in 1968 as a Z scoreformula used to predict the chances of bankruptcy Thismethodology can be used to predict the chance of a businessorganization to move into bankruptcy within a given time which ismostly about 2 yearsThis method is successful inpredicting the status of financial distress in any firm Altman Zscore can help in measuring the financial health of a businessorganization by the use of multiple balance sheet values andcorporate incomeBy evaluating a firms workingcapital total assets total liabilities retained earningsoperating earnings and revenues the Altman Zscore is a reliablepredictor of a firms solvency Analysts often equate the thisscore with corresponding bond ratings because if a firm has a bondrating of BBB it will have a score that will signifybankruptcyAlso Z score is one of the mostaccurate credit models because a change in a firms score suggeststhat most likely the firms fundamentals have changed The AltmanZscore formula is calculated like this Altman Zscore 12A 14B 33C 06D 10EHere are each of the componentsbroken down A WC TA Working Capital Total Assets B RE TA Retained Earnings Total Assets C EBIT TA EBIT Total Assets D MC TL Market Cap Total Liabilities E S TA Sales Total AssetsIn this model if the Z value isgreater than 299 then the firm is said to be in the safe zoneand has a negligible probability of filing bankruptcyIf the Z value is between 299 and181 then the firm is said to be in the grey zone and has amoderate probability for bankruptcyAnd finally if the Z value isbelow 181 then it is said to be in the distress zone and has avery high probability of reaching the stage ofbankruptcyExampleMichael is a financial analyst at aboutique securities firm He is asked to calculate the score for amanufacturing company that has released relatively weak resultsover the past two quarters Michael collects information from thefollowing    See Answer
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