Tamson developed a model that used the actual price of a gallon of regular gasoline...
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Finance
- Tamson developed a model that used the actual price of a gallon of regular gasoline to predict motor fuel consumed per year. Based on the value of Durbin-Watson statistic in the following Minitab output, determine whether serial correlation is a problem. (10%)
Regression Analysis: Gallons versus Price
The regression equation is
Gallons = 87.8 - 14.7 Price
Predictor Coef SE Coef T P
Constant 87.802 2.119 41.43 0.000
Price -14.685 2.239 -6.56 0.000
S = 2.67384 R-Sq = 75.4% R-Sq(adj) = 73.7%
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 1 307.49 307.49 43.01 0.000
Residual Error 14 100.09 7.15
Total 15 407.58
Unusual Observations
Obs Price Gallons Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
2 0.53 85.100 80.018 1.061 5.082 2.07R
R denotes an observation with a large standardized residual.
Durbin-Watson statistic = 1.94584
- Tamson decides to add a variable representing the population of the United States to the model. Based on the output below, will you keep this new variable in this model? Explain. (10%)
Regression Analysis: Gallons versus Price, Pop.
The regression equation is
Gallons = 129 - 9.59 Price - 0.202 Pop.
Predictor Coef SE Coef T P VIF
Constant 129.29 16.58 7.80 0.000
Price -9.588 2.780 -3.45 0.004 2.1
- -0.20157 0.08007 -2.52 0.026 2.1
S = 2.27505 R-Sq = 83.5% R-Sq(adj) = 81.0%
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 2 340.29 170.15 32.87 0.000
Residual Error 13 67.29 5.18
Total 15 407.58
Source DF Seq SS
Price 1 307.49
- 1 32.81
Unusual Observations
Obs Price Gallons Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
1 0.39 78.800 82.833 1.163 -4.033 -2.06R
R denotes an observation with a large standardized residual.
Durbin-Watson statistic = 2.37205
- Is multicollinearity a problem in this case? If so, how to tackle this problem. (10%)
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