Question 4 A pharmacist has been monitoring sales of a certain over-the-counter pain reliever. Monthly sales during...

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Operations Management

Question 4

A pharmacist has been monitoring sales of a certainover-the-counter pain reliever. Monthly sales during the last 15months were:

Month

Number sold

Month

Number sold

Month

Number sold

1

36

6

49

11

52

2

38

7

50

12

55

3

42

8

49

13

54

4

44

9

52

14

56

5

48

10

48

15

57

  1. Using 3-Month Weighted Moving Average using 0.2, 0.3, and 0.5with the heaviest weights applied to the most recent months,develop forecasts for months from 11 to16.       
  2. Using Exponential Smoothing using an α = 0.4 and the10th Month forecast of 50, develop forecasts for monthsfrom 11 to16.              
  3. Using Trend Projection, develop forecasts for months from 11 to16.
  4. Justify which method you would suggest using to predict futuresales.

Answer & Explanation Solved by verified expert
4.0 Ratings (587 Votes)
d based on the error measure MAD it is    See Answer
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