Project Risk = Probability of event * Consequences ofevent
Let’s investigate the quantitative risk identified for acompany, last year.
Probability of Failure Category | Probability of Failure | Consequences of Failure Category |
Process Maturity | 30% | Performance = 55% |
Technical Complexity | 25% | Schedule = 75% |
Vendor Dependency | 30% | Cost = $55 |
Workforce Availability | 10% | Reliability = 20% |
Use the table above to answer the following questions:
- Please calculate the total risk factor for this project. Wouldyou assess this level of risk as low, moderate, or high? Why?
(Hint: Total Risk Factor = (Pf + Cf) - (Pf*Cf) Where P =Average probability of failure and C = Average Consequences ofFailure. A common rule of thumb assigns any project with a RiskFactor of below 0.30 as low risk, with a Risk Factor of between0.30 and 0.70 as medium risk, and Risk Factor over 0.7 as highrisk).
- What are all the risk mitigation strategies available to thiscompany (in the example above)? What specific mitigation optionswould you recommend to the corporation?
- To reduce the total risk factor by one level (i.e., High toMedium or Medium to Low) what would be your focus among the fourprobabilities of failure and four consequences of failurelisted?
- If you were to prioritize your efforts, which risk factorswould you address first? Why?
- Explain the meaning of the following sentence: Reduction ofrisk factors is not cheap.