Please indicate which currency pair provides the greatest opportunity for a covered interest arbitrage? Which...
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Finance
- Please indicate which currency pair provides the greatest opportunity for a covered interest arbitrage? Which currency pair provides the least opportunity?
- Assume you can borrow or lend $1 million at the given interest rate in all countries, and enter both spot and forward exchange market. Can you come up with a plan and make money using the currency pair whose LHS and RHS differ the most?
Verification of Covered Interest Arbitrage | Examples | |||
Market data as of April 6/7, 2015: | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Country | USA | Japan | UK | Euro Zone |
Exchange ratio | JPY per USD | USD per GBP | USD per EUR | |
Spot exchange rate, R | 119.5000 | 1.4889 | 1.0936 | |
3-month Forward exchange rate, F | 119.3400 | 1.4879 | 1.0949 | |
3-month interest rate (annualized) | 0.27375% | 0.10071% | 0.57025% | 0.00857% |
In Percentages | ||||
LHS | 0.04326% | -0.07413% | 0.06630% | |
RHS | -0.13389% | -0.06716% | 0.11887% | |
Difference (Absolute value) | 0.177150% | 0.006970% | 0.052570% |
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