Please indicate which currency pair provides the greatest opportunity for a covered interest arbitrage? Which...

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Finance

  1. Please indicate which currency pair provides the greatest opportunity for a covered interest arbitrage? Which currency pair provides the least opportunity?
  2. Assume you can borrow or lend $1 million at the given interest rate in all countries, and enter both spot and forward exchange market. Can you come up with a plan and make money using the currency pair whose LHS and RHS differ the most?
Verification of Covered Interest Arbitrage Examples
Market data as of April 6/7, 2015: 1 2 3
Country USA Japan UK Euro Zone
Exchange ratio JPY per USD USD per GBP USD per EUR
Spot exchange rate, R 119.5000 1.4889 1.0936
3-month Forward exchange rate, F 119.3400 1.4879 1.0949
3-month interest rate (annualized) 0.27375% 0.10071% 0.57025% 0.00857%
In Percentages
LHS 0.04326% -0.07413% 0.06630%
RHS -0.13389% -0.06716% 0.11887%
Difference (Absolute value) 0.177150% 0.006970% 0.052570%

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