Please answer the following: United Dairies, Inc., supplies milk to several independent grocers throughout Dade County, Florida....
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Basic Math
Please answer the following:
- United Dairies, Inc., supplies milk to several independentgrocers throughout Dade County, Florida. Managers at United Dairieswant to develop a forecast of the number of half gallons of milksold per week. Sales data for the past 12 weeks are:
Week
Sales
1
2,750
2
3,100
3
3,250
4
2,800
5
2,900
6
3,050
7
3,300
8
3,100
9
2,950
10
3,000
11
3,200
12
3,150
.
- Show the exponential smoothing forecasts using α = 0.1.
- Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefera smoothing constant of α=0.1 or α= 0.2 for the United Dairiessales time series?
- Are the results the same if you apply MAE as the measure ofaccuracy?
- What are the results if MAPE is used?
2.   Use exponentialsmoothing with a α = 0.4 to develop a forecast of demand for week13. What is the resulting MSE?
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Please answer the following:
- United Dairies, Inc., supplies milk to several independentgrocers throughout Dade County, Florida. Managers at United Dairieswant to develop a forecast of the number of half gallons of milksold per week. Sales data for the past 12 weeks are:
Week | Sales |
1 | 2,750 |
2 | 3,100 |
3 | 3,250 |
4 | 2,800 |
5 | 2,900 |
6 | 3,050 |
7 | 3,300 |
8 | 3,100 |
9 | 2,950 |
10 | 3,000 |
11 | 3,200 |
12 | 3,150 |
.
- Show the exponential smoothing forecasts using α = 0.1.
- Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefera smoothing constant of α=0.1 or α= 0.2 for the United Dairiessales time series?
- Are the results the same if you apply MAE as the measure ofaccuracy?
- What are the results if MAPE is used?
2.   Use exponentialsmoothing with a α = 0.4 to develop a forecast of demand for week13. What is the resulting MSE?
          Â
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