Melchers has come up with a new gadget prototype and is ready to go ahead...

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Finance

Melchers has come up with a new gadget prototype and is ready to go ahead with pilot production and test marketing. The pilot production and test marketing phase will last for one year and cost $560,000. The management team believes that there is a 40% chance that the test marketing will be successful (which also means 60% chance of test marketing failure) and that there will be sufficient demand for the new gadget. If the test-marketing phase is successful, then Melchers will invest $3.1 million in year one to build a plant that will generate expected annual after-tax cash flows of $600,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two. If the test marketing is not successful, Melchers can still go ahead and build the new plant, but the expected annual after-tax cash flows would be only $220,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two. Melchers has the option to stop the project at any time and sell the prototype gadget to a competitor for $400,000. Melchers's cost of capital is 11.20%. Assuming that Melchers has the ability to sell the prototype in year one for $400,000, what is the NPV of Melchers' project?

$590,749

$549,749

$508,749

$467,749

$426,749

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