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Question

Accounting

Income Statement

2019A

2020A

2021A

Sales Volume

(000's units)

326.4

326.6

344.5

Unit Price

(CDN$/unit)

654.0

707.9

594.4

Revenue

(C$ MM)

213.5

231.2

204.8

Variable Cost

(C$ MM)

95.0

97.4

100.9

Fixed Cost

65.0

65.0

67.0

S,G & A

(C$ MM)

3.4

3.6

3.8

Total Costs

(C$ MM)

163.4

166.0

171.7

EBITDA

(C$ MM)

50.1

65.2

33.1

Depreciation

(C$ MM)

15.4

15.5

15.8

EBIT

(C$ MM)

34.7

49.7

17.3

Interest Expense

(C$ MM)

15.0

15.0

14.0

EBT

(C$ MM)

19.7

34.7

3.3

Total Income Taxes

(C$ MM)

5.7

14.2

1.1

Net Income

(C$ MM)

$14.0

$20.5

$2.2

Average Diluted Shares O/S

(MM's)

13.9

14.2

14.6

Earnings per Share

(C$ / share)

$1.01

$1.44

$0.15

What is the company expected share price? Consider the following assumptions:

The required rate of return is 10%, and the TV growth rate is 3%

The expected tax rate is 36%

The company current outstanding long term debt is $300 million at 5% interest rate, and it is expected to stay at the same level in the coming years

The company sales volume is expected to grow by 10% in 2022 and 2023, and by 5% in the following three years

The company sales price is expected to grow by the inflation rate (expected at 2%)

The expected capex is $10 million annually over the coming 5 years and is depreciated at a rate of 10%

The variable cost margin is expected to be 45% over the coming 5 years

Fixed cost and S,G & A are expected to increase by the inflation rate of 2%

The expected change in net working capital is 10% of the sales (usage)

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