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In the upcoming election for governor, the most recent poll, based on 900 respondents, predicts...

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Basic Math

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In the upcoming election for governor, the most recent poll, based on 900 respondents, predicts that the incumbent will be reelected with 55 percent of the votes. For the sake of argument, assume that 51 percent of the actual voters in the state support the incumbent governor (p= .51). Calculate the probability of observing a sample proportion of voters .55 or higher supporting the incumbent governor. .0166 .0247 .0082 .9918

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