Growth Option: Decision-Tree Analysis Fethe's Funny Hats is considering selling trademarked, orange-haired curly wigs for University of...

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Growth Option: Decision-Tree Analysis Fethe's Funny Hats isconsidering selling trademarked, orange-haired curly wigs forUniversity of Tennessee football games. The purchase cost for a2-year franchise to sell the wigs is $20,000. If demand is good(40% probability), then the net cash flows will be $27,000 per yearfor 2 years. If demand is bad (60% probability), then the net cashflows will be $5,000 per year for 2 years. Fethe's cost of capitalis 13%. Do not round intermediate calculations. What is theexpected NPV of the project? Negative value, if any, should beindicated by a minus sign. Round your answer to the nearest dollar.$ If Fethe makes the investment today, then it will have the optionto renew the franchise fee for 2 more years at the end of Year 2for an additional payment of $20,000. In this case, the cash flowsthat occurred in Years 1 and 2 will be repeated (so if demand wasgood in Years 1 and 2, it will continue to be good in Years 3 and4). Write out the decision tree. Note: The franchise fee payment atthe end of Year 2 is known, so it should be discounted at therisk-free rate, which is 5%. Select the correct decision tree. Thecorrect graph is . Use decision-tree analysis to calculate theexpected NPV of this project, including the option to continue foran additional 2 years. Negative values, if any, should be indicatedby a minus sign. Round your answer to the nearest dollar. $ CheckMy Work (3 remaining)

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4.1 Ratings (554 Votes)

Expected net cash flow= 40%*27000+60%*5000=13800.

NPV of the project is $3019.81. Calculation is given below:

Year Net Cash Flow Discounted Present Value (Net Cash Flow/1.13^year)
0                            (20,000.00)                                     (20,000.00)
1                             13,800.00                                      12,212.39
2                             13,800.00                                      10,807.42
NPV (Total Present Value)                                         3,019.81

At the end of year 2, discounted value of additional investment= 20000/1.05^2=$18140.59

NPV of the project including the continuation of project is $2907. Calculation is given below:

Year Net Cash Flow Discounted Present Value (Net Cash Flow/1.13^year)
0                              (20,000.00)                        (20,000.00)
1                                13,800.00                          12,212.39
2                                13,800.00                          10,807.42
2                              (20,000.00)                        (18,140.59)
3                                13,800.00                            9,564.09
4                                13,800.00                            8,463.80
NPV (Total Present Value)                            2,907.11

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Growth Option: Decision-Tree Analysis Fethe's Funny Hats isconsidering selling trademarked, orange-haired curly wigs forUniversity of Tennessee football games. The purchase cost for a2-year franchise to sell the wigs is $20,000. If demand is good(40% probability), then the net cash flows will be $27,000 per yearfor 2 years. If demand is bad (60% probability), then the net cashflows will be $5,000 per year for 2 years. Fethe's cost of capitalis 13%. Do not round intermediate calculations. What is theexpected NPV of the project? Negative value, if any, should beindicated by a minus sign. Round your answer to the nearest dollar.$ If Fethe makes the investment today, then it will have the optionto renew the franchise fee for 2 more years at the end of Year 2for an additional payment of $20,000. In this case, the cash flowsthat occurred in Years 1 and 2 will be repeated (so if demand wasgood in Years 1 and 2, it will continue to be good in Years 3 and4). Write out the decision tree. Note: The franchise fee payment atthe end of Year 2 is known, so it should be discounted at therisk-free rate, which is 5%. Select the correct decision tree. Thecorrect graph is . Use decision-tree analysis to calculate theexpected NPV of this project, including the option to continue foran additional 2 years. Negative values, if any, should be indicatedby a minus sign. Round your answer to the nearest dollar. $ CheckMy Work (3 remaining)

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