Given the information in the projected income statements and assuming the projected improvements in working...
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Finance
Given the information in the projected income statements and assuming the projected improvements in working capital (that is, Ideko's working capital requirements though 2010 will be as shown here),use EBITDA as a multiple to estimate the continuation value in 2010 (reproduce Table 19.15), assuming the EBITDA multiple for Ideko remains at 9.1. Infer the EV/sales and the unlevered and levered P/E ratios implied by the continuation value you calculated. Also assume that Ideko's production plant will require an expansion in 2010, and that the cost of this expansion, $15.9 million, will be added to Ideko's debt in 2010. Ideko's balance sheet for 2005 is shown hereIdeko's free cash flows through 2010 are shown here
Ratio | Oakley, Inc. | Luxottica Group | Nike, Inc. | Sporting Goods Industry |
---|---|---|---|---|
P/E | 24.9 | 28.1 | 18.2 | 20.4 |
EV/Sales | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
EV/EBITDA | 11.8 | 14.3 | 9.1 | 11.4 |
EBITDA/Sales | 16.9% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 12.3% |
Continuation Value: Multiples Approach ($ 000)
EBITDA in 2010
27498
EBITDA Multiple
9.1
x
Continuation Enterprise Value
250232
Debt
Continuation Equity Value
Income Statement ($ 000) | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
Sales | 76,700 | 83,583 | 93,487 | 104,389 | 116,379 | 129,560 |
Cost of Goods Sold | ||||||
Raw Materials | (16,000) | (17,352) | (19,217) | (21,248) | (23,455) | (25,857) |
Direct Labor Costs | (18,000) | (20,510) | (23,378) | (26,604) | (30,225) | (34,293) |
Gross Profit | 42,700 | 45,721 | 50,892 | 56,537 | 62,699 | 69,410 |
Sales and Marketing | (11,250) | (13,566) | (16,435) | (19,761) | (22,438) | (24,979) |
Administrative | (13,500) | (12,596) | (14,088) | (14,688) | (15,211) | (16,933) |
EBITDA | 17,950 | 19,559 | 20,369 | 22,088 | 25,050 | 27,498 |
Depreciation | (5,500) | (6,050) | (5,945) | (5,851) | (5,765) | (7,279) |
EBIT | 12,450 | 13,509 | 14,424 | 16,237 | 19,285 | 20,219 |
Interest Expense (net) | (75) | (6,530) | (6,530) | (6,530) | (6,530) | (6,530) |
Pretax Income | 12,375 | 6,979 | 7,894 | 9,707 | 12,755 | 13,689 |
Income Tax | (4,331) | (2,443) | (2,763) | (3,397) | (4,464) | (4,791) |
Net Income | 8,044 | 4,536 | 5,131 | 6,310 | 8,291 | 8,898 |
Working Capital Days 2005 > 2005 Assets Based on: Days Days Accounts Receivable Sales Revenue 90 90 Raw Materials Raw Materials Costs 45 45 Finished Goods Raw Materials+Labor Costs 45 45 Minimum Cash Balance Sales Revenue 30 30 Liabilities Wages Payable Direct Labor+Admin Costs 15 15 Other Accounts Payable Raw Materials+Sales and Marketing 45 45
Working Capital ($ 000)
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Assets
Accounts Receivable
55,500
20,610
23,052
25,740
28,696
31,946
Raw Materials
1,973
2,139
2,369
2,620
2,892
3,188
Finished Goods
4,192
4,668
5,251
5,900
6,618
7,416
Minimum Cash Balance
6,304
6,870
7,684
8,580
9,565
10,649
Total Current Assets
67,969
34,287
38,356
42,840
47,771
53,199
Labilities
Wages Payable
1,295
1,361
1,540
1,697
1,867
2,105
Other Accounts Payable
3,360
3,812
4,395
5,056
5,658
6,267
Total Current Liabilities
4,655
5,173
5,935
6,753
7,525
8,372
Net Working Capital
63,314
29,114
32,421
36,087
40,246
44,827
Increase in Net Working Capital
(34,200)
3,307
3,666
4,159
4,581
Estimated 2005 Balance Sheet Data for Ideko Corporation Balance Sheet ($ 000) Assets Cash and Equivalents 6,164 Accounts Receivable 55,500 Inventories 6,165 Total Current Assets 67,829 Property, Plant, and Equipment 55,500 Goodwill 72,332 Total Assets 195,661 Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity Accounts Payable 4,654 Debt 100,000 Total Liabilities 104,654 Stockholders' Equity 91,007 Total Liabilities and Equity 195,661
Free Cash Flow ($ 000)
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Net Income
4,536
5,131
6,310
8,291
8,898
Plus: After-tax Interest Expense
4,245
4,245
4,245
4,245
4,245
Unlevered Net Income
8,781
9,376
10,555
12,536
13,143
Plus: Depreciation
6,050
5,945
5,851
5,765
7,279
Less: Increase in NWC
34,200
(3,307)
(3,666)
(4,159)
(4,581)
Less: Capital Expenditures
(5,000)
(5,000)
(5,000)
(5,000)
(20,900)
Free Cash Flow of Firm
44,031
7,014
7,740
9,142
(5,059)
Plus: Net Borrowing
15,900
Less: After-tax Interest Expense
(4,245)
(4,245)
(4,245)
(4,245)
(4,245)
Free Cash Flow to Equity
39,786
2,769
3,495
3,495
6,596
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