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Following from a market research report that cost 7,500 (paid in full last month) a golf club is considering a 750,000 investment in 20X6 on gymnasium facilities. The gymnasium is planned for a part of the clubs existing premises for which the club currently receives annual rent of 85,000 (at 20X6 prices) receivable in arrears. The company estimates that corporation tax will be 17% per annum and the cost of capital will be 10% per annum for the next five years. All cash flows can be assumed to arise at the end of the year to which they relate.

1. The report suggested three potential outcomes. While the most likely impact would be an increase in annual revenues of 760,000, dependent on the prevailing economic climate additional annual revenue could be as high as 1 million with 20% probability and as low as 608,000 with 20% probability. Compute the expected revenue.
2. The equipment can be disposed of for 100,000 (at 20X6 prices) after five years. The capital expenditure on the gymnasium qualifies for writing down allowance at 18% per annum on a reducing balance basis, commencing in the year in which the initial investment is made. On disposal at 31 December 20Y1 a balancing charge or allowance will arise equal to the difference between the disposal value and the written down value on that date. Compute the writing down allowance (WDA).
3. Contribution is estimated at 50% of revenues. The operation of the gymnasium will add 85,000 per annum (at 20X6 prices) to the companys fixed costs. All costs and revenues, except for the investment cost, are subject to inflation at 5% per annum from the start of the first year the gymnasium is operational, i.e. 1 January 20X7. Computing the net present value of the proposed project over a five-year horizon, make a suitable recommendation to the golf clubs directors.
4. Advise the directors on the sensitivity of the net present value to changes in the present value of the contribution. Calculate the percentage change in the present value of the expected annual contributions for NPV to break-even.

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