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Dow Jones Industrial Average.xlsx ubrace(darrubrace) has the annual returns of the index from 1973 to...

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Finance

Dow Jones Industrial Average.xlsx ubrace $(d a r r u b r a c e)$ has the annual returns of the index from $1973$ to $2022 .$ What is the probability that the return is positive?

$() D o w$

$70 %$

$63 %$

$67 %$

$73 %$

Question $2$

$5$ pts

Continuing from the previous question, what is the probability that the return in year $t$ is positive if the return in year $t - 1$ is positive?

$P (R_{t} 0 | R_{t - 1} 0) = \frac{# o f R_{t}}{# o f R_{t} w i t h R_{t - 1}} 0 0 0$ with $R_{t - 1} 0 ?$

$73 %$

$75 %$

$69 %$

$71 %$

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