An oil company purchased an option on land in Alaska. Preliminary geologic studies assigned the...

60.1K

Verified Solution

Question

Accounting

image

An oil company purchased an option on land in Alaska. Preliminary geologic studies assigned the following prior probabilities P(high-quality oil) = 0.50 P(medium-quality oil) = 0.15 Plno oil) = 0.35 a. What is the probability of finding oil (to 2 decimals)? 0.70 b. After 200 feet of drilling on the first well, a soil test is taken. The probabilities of finding the particular type of soil Identified by the test are given below. P(soil high-quality oil) = 0.15 P(soil medium-quality oil) - 0.85 P(soilno oil) = 0.15 Given the soil found in the test, use Baves theorem to compute the following revised probabilities (to 4 decimals). P(high-quality oil soil) P(medium-quality oil soil) P(no oil soil) What is the new probability of finding oil (to 4 decimals)? According to the revised probabilities, what is the quality of oil that is most likely to be found? Medium-quality . 0 Toon ko Exercise 01:59 Algo (Bayes Theorem)

Answer & Explanation Solved by verified expert
Get Answers to Unlimited Questions

Join us to gain access to millions of questions and expert answers. Enjoy exclusive benefits tailored just for you!

Membership Benefits:
  • Unlimited Question Access with detailed Answers
  • Zin AI - 3 Million Words
  • 10 Dall-E 3 Images
  • 20 Plot Generations
  • Conversation with Dialogue Memory
  • No Ads, Ever!
  • Access to Our Best AI Platform: Flex AI - Your personal assistant for all your inquiries!
Become a Member

Other questions asked by students