Allergic reactions to poison ivy can be miserable. Plant oils cause the reaction. Researchers at Allergy...

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Allergic reactions to poison ivy can be miserable. Plant oilscause the reaction. Researchers at Allergy Institute did a study todetermine the effects of washing the oil off within 5 minutes ofexposure. A random sample of 1000 people with known allergies topoison ivy participated in the study. Oil from the poison ivy plantwas rubbed on a patch of skin. For 500 of the subjects, it waswashed off within 5 minutes. For the other 500 subjects,the oil was washed off after 5 minutes. The results aresummarized in the following table.

ReactionWithin 5 MinutesAfter 5 MinutesRow Total
None
Mild
Strong
392
54
54
46
334
120
438
388
174
Column Total5005001000

Let's use the following notation for the various events:W = washing oil off within 5 minutes, A = washingoil off after 5 minutes, N = no reaction, M =mild reaction, S = strong reaction. Find the followingprobabilities for a person selected at random from this sample of1000 subjects. (Use 3 decimal places.)

(a)P(N)
P(M)
P(S)
(b)P(N | W)
P(S | W)
(c)P(N | A)
P(S | A)
(d)P(N and W)
P(M and W)


(e) P(N or M).

Are the events N = no reaction and M = mildreaction mutually exclusive? Explain.

No. P(N or M) ≠ 0.Yes. P(N andM) = 0.    Yes. P(N orM) = 0.No. P(N and M) ≠ 0.


(f) Are the events N = no reaction and W =washing oil off within 5 minutes independent? Explain.

Yes. P(N and W) = P(N) ·P(W).Yes. P(N and W) ≠P(N) ·P(W).    No. P(Nand W) = P(N) · P(W).No.P(N and W) ≠ P(N) ·P(W).

Answer & Explanation Solved by verified expert
4.5 Ratings (865 Votes)

a)      
P(N)=438/1000=0.438      
P(M)=388/1000=0.388      
P(S)=174/1000=0.174      
      
      
      
b)      
P(N|W) = P(N n W)/P(W)=392/500=   0.784  
      
P(S|W)=P(S n W)/P(W)=54/500=   0.108  
      
      
      
c)      
P(N|A)=46/500=   0.092  
P(S|A)=120/500=   0.240  
      
      
d)      
P(N and W)=392/1000=0.392      
P(M and W)=54/1000=0.054      
      
      
e)      

Yes. because P(N and M) = 0

f)

P(N and W) = 0.392

P(N)*P(W)=0.438*0.5=0.219

answer: No. P(N and W) ≠ P(N) · P(W)


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