A project with an up-front cost at t = 0 of $1500 is being considered by...

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A project with an up-front cost at t = 0 of $1500 is beingconsidered by Nationwide Pharmaceutical Corporation (NPC). (Alldollars in this problem are in thousands.) The project's subsequentcash flows are critically dependent on whether a competitor'sproduct is approved by the Food and Drug Administration. If the FDArejects the competitive product, NPC's product will have high salesand cash flows, but if the competitive product is approved, thatwill negatively impact NPC. There is a 75% chance that thecompetitive product will be rejected, in which case NPC's expectedcash flows will be $500 at the end of each of the next seven years(t = 1 to 7). There is a 25% chance that the competitor's productwill be approved, in which case the expected cash flows will beonly $25 at the end of each of the next seven years (t = 1 to 7).NPC will know for sure one year from today whether the competitor'sproduct has been approved.

NPC will proceed with the investment today to take advantage ofthe untapped market potential and at the end of the project's life,after finding out about the FDA's decision about the demand forcompetitor's product, they will decide whether or not to renew thepatent and rerun the project. The project rerun's up-front cost (att=7) will remain at $1500, and the subsequent cash flows willremain unchanged and will be received for seven additional years(t=8...14).

They will only rerun the project if the rerun of the projectadds value. Assuming that all Cash Flows are discounted at 10%,what is the NPV of the project with and without the growthoption?

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4.2 Ratings (827 Votes)
All financials are in 000 All Cash Flows are discounted at R 10 Upfront cost at t 0 will be C0 1500 Case 1 There is a p1 75 chance that the competitive product will be rejected in which case NPCs expected cash flows C 500 at the end of each of the    See Answer
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A project with an up-front cost at t = 0 of $1500 is beingconsidered by Nationwide Pharmaceutical Corporation (NPC). (Alldollars in this problem are in thousands.) The project's subsequentcash flows are critically dependent on whether a competitor'sproduct is approved by the Food and Drug Administration. If the FDArejects the competitive product, NPC's product will have high salesand cash flows, but if the competitive product is approved, thatwill negatively impact NPC. There is a 75% chance that thecompetitive product will be rejected, in which case NPC's expectedcash flows will be $500 at the end of each of the next seven years(t = 1 to 7). There is a 25% chance that the competitor's productwill be approved, in which case the expected cash flows will beonly $25 at the end of each of the next seven years (t = 1 to 7).NPC will know for sure one year from today whether the competitor'sproduct has been approved.NPC will proceed with the investment today to take advantage ofthe untapped market potential and at the end of the project's life,after finding out about the FDA's decision about the demand forcompetitor's product, they will decide whether or not to renew thepatent and rerun the project. The project rerun's up-front cost (att=7) will remain at $1500, and the subsequent cash flows willremain unchanged and will be received for seven additional years(t=8...14).They will only rerun the project if the rerun of the projectadds value. Assuming that all Cash Flows are discounted at 10%,what is the NPV of the project with and without the growthoption?

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