A political pollster is conducting an analysis of sample results in order to make predictions on...

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Statistics

A political pollster is conducting an analysis of sample resultsin order to make predictions on election night. Assuming a​two-candidate election, if a specific candidate receives at least54% of the vote in the​ sample, that candidate will be forecast asthe winner of the election. You select a random sample of 100voters. Complete parts​ (a) through​ (c) below.

a.

The probability is ______ that a candidate will be forecast asthe winner when the population percentage of her vote is50.1​%.

b.

The probability is _____that a candidate will be forecast as thewinner when the population percentage of her vote is 56​%

c.

Whatis the probability that a candidate will be forecast as the winnerwhen the population percentage of her vote is

49​%

​(and she will actually lose the​ election)?

d.

The probability is _____ that a candidate will be forecast asthe winner when the population percentage of her vote is50.1​%.

The probability is_____that a candidate will be forecast as thewinner when the population percentage of her vote is 56​%.

The probability is ______that a candidate will be forecast asthe winner when the population percentage of her vote is 49​%.

E. Choose the correct answer below.

A.

Increasing the sample size by a factor of 4 increases thestandard error by a factor of 2. Changing the standard errordoubles the magnitude of the standardized​ Z-value.

B.

Increasing the sample size by a factor of 4 decreases thestandard error by a factor of 2. Changing the standard errordecreases the standardized​ Z-value to half of its originalvalue.

C.

Increasing the sample size by a factor of 4 increases thestandard error by a factor of 2. Changing the standard errordecreases the standardized​ Z-value to half of its originalvalue.

D.

Increasing the sample size by a factor of 4 decreases thestandard error by a factor of 2. Changing the standard errordoubles the magnitude of the standardized​ Z-value.

Answer & Explanation Solved by verified expert
4.3 Ratings (699 Votes)
a population proportion p 0501 n 100 std error SE p1pn 00500 sample proportion p 054 Z p p SE 0780 P p 054 PZ p p SE PZ 0780 02177answer The probability is 2177 that a candidate will be forecast as the winner when the    See Answer
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