A large Portland manufacturer wants to forecast demand for a piece of pollution-control equipment. A...
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Finance
A large Portland manufacturer wants to forecast demand for a piece of pollution-control equipment. A review of past sales
(Upper A Subscript tAt ), as shown below, indicates that an increasing trend is present. Smoothing constants are assigned the values of
alpha = 0.2 and beta =0.4 The firm assumes the initial forecast for month 1 (Upper F 1F1 )was13.00 units and the trend over that period Upper T 1T1 was
2.00 units.
Using trend-adjusted exponential smoothing, Forecasts (Upper F Subscript tFt ), Trend (Upper T Subscript tTt ), and Forecasts Including Trend (FIT Subscript tFITt ) for months 1 through 4 have already been developed and are provided below. Continue with the process and determine Upper F Subscript tFt , Upper T Subscript tTt , and FIT Subscript tFITt for months 5 and 6 (round your responses to two decimal places):
Month (t ) | Actual Demand (Upper A Subscript tAt ) | Forecast (Upper F Subscript tFt ) | Trend (Upper T Subscript tTt ) | Forecast Including Trend (FIT Subscript tFITt ) |
1 | 14.0 | 13.00 | 2.00 | 15.00 |
2 | 16.0 | 14.80 | 1.92 | 16.72 |
3 | 20.0 | 16.58 | 1.86 | 18.44 |
4 | 20.0 | 18.75 | 1.98 | 20.73 |
5 | 25.0 | ? | ? | ? |
6 | 21.0 | ? | ? | ? |
7 | 32.0 | |||
8 | 26.0 | |||
9 | 38.0 | |||
10 | - |
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