3-20 Mickey Lawson is considering investing some money that he inherited. The following payoff table...

80.2K

Verified Solution

Question

Finance

3-20 Mickey Lawson is considering investing some money that he inherited. The following payoff table gives the profits that would be realized during the next year for each of three investment alternatives Mickey is considering:

State of Nature

Decision Alternative

Good Economy

Poor Economy

Stock Market

80,000

-20,000

Bonds

30,000

20,000

CDs

23,000

23,000

Profitability

0.5

0.5

a. what decision would maximize expected profits?

EMV stock market= 80,000 (0.5) +(-20,000) (0.5)

=40,000-10,000

=30,000

EMV bonds= 30,000(0.5) +(20,000) (0.5)

=15,000 + 10,000

=25,000

EMV CDS= 23,000(0.5) +23,000(0.5)

=11,500 +11,500

=23,000

The firm will choose to invest in the stock market.

b. what is the maximum amount that should be paid for a perfect forecast of the economy?

EMV with perfect information= 80,000(0.5) +23,000(0.5)

=51,500

EMV PI= EMV with perfect information MAXEMV without perfect information

=51,500-30,000

=21,500

The maximum amount that is paid for a perfect forecast by is 21,500.

Just need help with this part- however, you now need to perform create an Excel Spreadsheet and use formulas for this problem (make sure cell references are unique to your table). Provide all techniques practiced previously: 5 Techniques for Decisions Making under Uncertainty, EMV, EOL, and EVPI.

Answer & Explanation Solved by verified expert
Get Answers to Unlimited Questions

Join us to gain access to millions of questions and expert answers. Enjoy exclusive benefits tailored just for you!

Membership Benefits:
  • Unlimited Question Access with detailed Answers
  • Zin AI - 3 Million Words
  • 10 Dall-E 3 Images
  • 20 Plot Generations
  • Conversation with Dialogue Memory
  • No Ads, Ever!
  • Access to Our Best AI Platform: Flex AI - Your personal assistant for all your inquiries!
Become a Member

Other questions asked by students