13) A logging truck sales representative can contact either one or two potential buyers per day...

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13) A logging truck sales representative can contact either oneor two potential buyers per day with probabilities of 0.25 and0.75, respectively. Each contact will result in either no sale or a$75,000 sale with probabilities of 0.85 and 0.15,respectively(hint: start with a tree diagram)

a) Show the probability distribution of daily sales.

b) What is the expected value of daily sales?

c) What is the standard deviation of daily sales?

Answer & Explanation Solved by verified expert
3.6 Ratings (391 Votes)

a)let x is randomly distributed sale on a given day.

below is probability distribution of daily sales

P(X=0)=P(contact one buyer and no sale)+P(contact two buyer and no sale on both)=0.25*0.85+0.75*0.85*0.85=0.7544

P(X=75000)=P(contact one buyer and one sale)+P(contact two buyer and one sale)=0.25*0.15+0.75*2C10.85*0.15=0.2288

P(X=150000)=P(contact two buyer and two sale)=0.75*0.15*0.15=0.0169

b)

x f(x) xP(x) x2P(x)
0.0000 0.7544 0.000 0.000
75000.0000 0.2288 17156.250 1286718750.000
150000.0000 0.0169 2531.250 379687500.000
total 19687.500 1666406250.000
E(x) =?= ?xP(x) = 19687.5000
E(x2) = ?x2P(x) = 1666406250.0000
Var(x)=?2 = E(x2)-(E(x))2= 1278808593.7500
std deviation=         ?= ??2 = 35760.4334

expected value of daily sales =19687.50

c)

standard deviation of daily sales =36760.43


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